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(CIIA)Examination I - Questions(二)

来源: 点击: 更新时间:2007-1-25 13:44:49

Exam Guide

 

Question 4: Derivative Valuation (35 points)

The date is 20 April. You are a stockbroker at a large Australian firm and specialise in

dealing in derivative markets. As part of your daily routine, you discuss a range of

opportunities and strategies with clients.

(a) You take a call from an investor who has decided to set up a buy/write fund, which is

not allowed to gear/lever. Her strategy is to buy and always hold BHP shares and

write options against the holding. She also states that the fund will earn over 20% per

annum over the next year with no risk of loss.

(i) What type of option trades would the investor seek to enter into, given that she

is already holding BHP shares? Buy/sell, puts/calls or both? Justify your answer.

(ii) Discuss the investor’s comment as to ‘no risk of loss’ with reference to what

assumptions would be required to make this statement true and what will

generate the return from the strategy.

(iii) Outline a strategy that would give a similar result to that outlined above but

using different types of options and underlying security.

(b) Your next call is from the Head of Asset Allocation at a fund manager. She tells you

that they expect the equity market to be extremely volatile over the next three

months and that she thinks there is an equal chance of either a 15% rise or fall over

the period.

(i) Using the following data, suggest an option strategy that would suit the

manager’s view. Draw a payoff diagram that will graphically demonstrate the

outcome of the strategy at maturity for various levels of the All Ordinaries

Index1 (include break-even points and maximum profit/loss).

Current all 2610

June SPI 2626

June SPI Calls June SPI Puts

Strike Bid price Ask price Strike price Bid price Ask price

2450 210 220 2450 50 60

2600 120 130 2600 110 120

2750 55 65 2700 205 215

(3 points)

(3 points)

(3 points)

(6 points)

(ii) Assume that the manager only wanted to protect $10 million of her portfolio

against a fall in the market over the long term. What additional information do

you require to calculate the number of options contracts required to implement

the strategy? (3 points)

 

1. The All Ordinaries Share Price Index (SPI) also referred as the “All Ordinaries” is the predominate measure

of the overall performance of the Australian sharemarket at any point in time. It is made up of shares of

approximately 250 of the largest Australian companies on ASX, weighted according to each company’s size in

term of market capitalization.

 

Exam Guide

 

 

(c) Your next call is from a trader of options who has a number of different options

positions open. She is about to go on four weeks holiday and asks for your opinion

on her Newscorp positions and if any action needs to be taken prior to departing for

the South Pole.

Long/ Number Security Price Options Option Option

Short Delta Gamma Theta

Short 10,000 Newscorp Ordinary 9.5

Short 15 Newscorp June $9.00 0.24 –0.3 Moderate Moderate

Long 15 Newscorp April $9.50 0.5 0.5 High High

(i) What is the effective exposure to underlying Newscorp shares? (Assume 1000

shares per option contract.) Show your calculations. (4 points)

(ii) Assume that Newscorp shares move sharply higher overnight. How would your

answer to (c)(i) above change and why? (Calculations are not required.) (3 points)

(iii) You notice that the implied volatility of Newscorp options is currently very

high, which is at odds with your view that the share price will stay at the same

level over the next three months. Suggest a course of action (along with

reasons) to the trader that would hedge the portfolio to unexpected price

moves in Newscorp over the period of absence. Use only the type of securities

currently represented in the portfolio. (4 points)

(d) You notice that take-over activity in the equity market has become a current theme

affecting stock prices. Outline how implied volatility would compare to historical

volatility in Western Mining options in the following scenarios. Give reasons why.

(i) A strong market rumour suggests an offer is imminent, but is not formally

announced. (3 points)

(ii) A cash offer, which is expected to succeed, is announced at a price significantly

above current market levels. (3 points)

 


 

 

Exam Guide

 

Question 5: Portfolio Management (33 points)

 

You are a consultant to a big institutional client. He shows you the brochure of a product

with the title “Invest your money in stocks but sleep well!” which he has got from his bank.

The product has the following characteristics:

 

maturity: 1 – 3 years

 

C, if Imd < Isd

payoff at maturity date:

C

.

1Imd -Isd

.

 

+ , if Imd 3 Isd

 

. P1÷

 

. Isd .

 

where:

 

C = invested capital (in USD), minimum: 10 Mio. USD

 

Isd = Index level at starting date

 

Imd = Index level at maturity date

 

Index = S&P500

 

P1 = positive number, determined at starting date

 

The client can chose the maturity according to his preferences and the parameter P1 is

determined by the bank.

 

(a) Explain to your client the characteristics of this product. Sketch the payoff diagram

indicating every level and slope. Describe to your client how the portfolio manager

could implement this strategy. Illustrate your description with the special case where

the manager should not use any stocks or future, under the assumption that all other

necessary assets are available. (9 points)

(b) The client wants to know the meaning of the parameter P1 and which market

parameters or other parameters determine its value. Explain this to him in detail. (6 points)

The bank also offers another product with the following payoff:

 

C, if Imd < Isd

 

payoff at maturity date: . Imd -Isd .

 

C+1 P

 

. 2֏Isd ., if Isd Imd Imax

 

. Imax -Isd .

 

C+1 P

 

. 2֏Isd ., if Imd > Imax

 

where:

Imax = certain Index level (determined at issue date) with Imax > Isd

P2 = positive number, determined at starting date

 

 

(c) Explain to your client the characteristics of this product and how they differ from

those of the first product. Sketch the payoff diagram indicating every meaningful

level and slope. Describe how the portfolio manager could implement this strategy. (9 points)

(d) What can you say about the parameters P1 and P2 in both the products

(qualitatively)? Do you expect them to be equal or not? If yes, explain why: if not,

indicate which of the two you expect to be higher and why. (6 points)

(e) Does the level of Imax have any impact on P2? Justify your answer. (3 points)


 

 

Exam Guide

 

 

Question 6: Portfolio Management (21 points)

 

Pension Fund Z currently allocates its equity investments to three active managers

(Companies A, B, and C) and one passive manager (Company P).

 

Manager Style Alpha (a) Standard IR Current

deviation of allocation

tracking error(s)

A Active 2.0% 10.0% 0.20 0.2

B Active 1.6% 8.0% 0.20 0.2

C Active 0.5% 5.0% 0.10 0.1

P Passive 0.0% 0.0% – 0.5

 

The alpha (a ) column in the table indicates the expected “excess return” of the fund

 

(i.e. the return earned by the fund minus the benchmark return); s indicates the standard

deviation of excess return; and “IR” is an abbreviation for “Information Ratio”, which is

defined as

a /s .

 

The formulas below give the theoretical allocation to each manager, assuming that there is

no correlation between the excess return and benchmark return for any of the funds and

that excess returns of individual funds are mutually independent.

 

tIR

 

. Allocation to active manager: i xi = i

2si

. Allocation to passive manager: P x =-1 .x

p ii

 

Note that t is a parameter indicating the degree of risk tolerance given for each investor.

Answer the following questions with reference to the information above.

 

Pension Fund Z thinks that the stock market has been fairly efficient so far. It had

previously decided on a 0.5 allocation to the passive component, but has reviewed its policy

and now wishes to change its allocations between active and passive managers based on the

theoretical formulas shown above.

 

(a) It is often said that the passive investment component should be increased the more

efficient the market is. Why is this so? Explain by using the theoretical formulas

above. (5 points)

(b) Pension Fund Z’s degree of risk tolerance t is estimated at 20. Find the optimal

allocation ratios for each fund, assuming the excess returns of individual active funds

to be mutually independent. (6 points)

(c) The actual correlation between the excess returns of A and B was positive since they

had similar investment styles. How would this change optimum allocation ratios to

individual managers (A, B, C, and P) from what they were in (b) above? (5 points)

(d) The a and s for each fund are estimated based on past performance, but there may be

some problems raising allocation ratios based on these numbers. Explain why that is. (5 points)


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